William and Mary
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
49  Emily Stites JR 19:48
61  Carolyn Hennessey JR 19:53
143  Regan Rome FR 20:13
198  Meghan McGovern JR 20:23
230  Dylan Hassett SR 20:29
411  Molly Breidenbaugh FR 20:49
953  Audrey Gordon FR 21:30
958  Leanna Eisenman JR 21:30
1,075  Rachel Rabbitt FR 21:38
1,196  Heather Clagett JR 21:45
1,302  Molly Applegate FR 21:52
1,471  Rebecca Eudailey SO 22:03
National Rank #16 of 341
Southeast Region Rank #3 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 74.4%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 22.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 63.9%


Regional Champion 26.2%
Top 5 in Regional 99.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Stites Carolyn Hennessey Regan Rome Meghan McGovern Dylan Hassett Molly Breidenbaugh Audrey Gordon Leanna Eisenman Rachel Rabbitt Heather Clagett Molly Applegate
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 655 19:45 20:09 20:19 20:31 21:23 21:52 21:28 22:08 22:14
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 750 19:33 20:37 20:22 20:43 21:30 21:31 21:41
CNU Invite 10/18 1026 20:28 21:10 21:58
Colonial Athletic Association Championship 11/01 739 19:58 20:16 20:31 20:38 21:11 21:33 21:20 21:41 21:42 21:28
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 469 20:21 19:41 20:07 20:15 20:08 20:50 21:30
NCAA Championship 11/22 575 19:36 22:45 20:04 20:23 20:32 20:35 21:48





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 74.4% 14.0 400 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.5 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.4 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.9 4.4 4.3 3.7 3.8 2.7 2.9 2.5 1.9 1.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 2.5 88 26.2 26.1 26.6 16.5 4.3 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Stites 96.8% 53.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.8
Carolyn Hennessey 90.5% 62.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6
Regan Rome 74.8% 114.4 0.0 0.0
Meghan McGovern 74.4% 140.3
Dylan Hassett 74.4% 155.7
Molly Breidenbaugh 74.4% 202.3
Audrey Gordon 74.4% 248.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Stites 4.4 12.0 12.3 11.1 10.9 8.8 8.3 7.0 6.4 4.3 4.5 3.1 3.0 1.9 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
Carolyn Hennessey 6.2 5.8 7.8 8.4 8.5 9.0 8.5 8.4 7.1 6.4 5.7 4.9 3.8 3.3 2.9 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1
Regan Rome 16.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.8 1.9 3.1 3.3 4.0 4.3 4.4 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.5 4.3 4.4 4.0 4.2 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.1 2.5
Meghan McGovern 23.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.8 2.9 3.5 3.2 4.0 3.8 4.0 3.7 4.1 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6
Dylan Hassett 29.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.6 2.4 2.3 3.1 2.7 2.5 3.3 3.1 3.5
Molly Breidenbaugh 50.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Audrey Gordon 99.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 26.2% 100.0% 26.2 26.2 1
2 26.1% 100.0% 26.1 26.1 2
3 26.6% 78.2% 4.0 2.4 1.9 1.9 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 5.8 20.8 3
4 16.5% 7.4% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 15.2 1.2 4
5 4.3% 1.9% 0.0 0.1 4.2 0.1 5
6 0.3% 0.3 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 74.4% 26.2 26.1 4.0 2.4 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.5 25.6 52.3 22.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0